Track20 develops tools that help partners- at both the country and global level- engage in data analysis.
Track20 has developed the Service Statistics to Estimated Modern Use (SS to EMU) tool to assist countries in converting service statistics data into estimates of modern method use (EMU is a proxy for mCPR), that can be used as input in the Family Planning Estimation Tool (FPET).
Download the SS to EMU Tool
The FPET model is designed to produce annual estimates of mCPR based on data from surveys. However, surveys are rarely available on an annual basis, and in some cases, may not have been conducted for many years.
Service statistics data is generally available on an annual (and even monthly) basis, and can provide the model with additional data on changes in prevalence after the last survey. This is especially useful in cases where survey data may be outdated or where dramatic social changes or expansions in family planning programming have occurred since the last survey.
The SS to EMU tool was developed to transform several types of generally available service statistics data (family planning commodities distributed, family planning visits, or family planning users) into values that can be entered into FPET to inform estimates of mCPR.
The two graphs above are examples of how service statistics data is reviewed for quality. The first graph illustrates the number of users that have been estimated by method, based on the service statistics data input. The second set of graphs compares the estimated method mix based on the service statistics data compared to the last survey. These two graphics are reviewed to sense check the data – are trends in individual methods reasonable given current programmatic efforts – and look for any indications of errors – is the method mix substantially different than was found in a recent survey? If so Is there any reasonable explanation or could this indicate an error in the data?
The above graph shows the final results of the SS to EMU tool, a comparison of the EMU (estimated method use) calculated from the various types of service statistics data provided, compared to survey results for mCPR among all women and FPET estimates of mCPR among all women. The goal of this graphic is to allow the user to review the estimates produced by the tool in comparison to other sources of data and determine which data comes closest to approximating survey and FPET results and whether that data can be used in FPET.
The EMU values produced by the SS to EMU Tool can be entered in FPET along with Survey results in order to inform estimates of mCPR. Incorporating the service statistics data can improve estimates in years beyond the last survey, informing the trend with more recent data as well as narrowing the confidence interval around the estimates. See the graphs below: